Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Tech
Big 12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.2#9
Expected Predictive Rating+17.8#12
Pace66.1#246
Improvement+0.3#165

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#36
First Shot+7.0#20
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#223
Layup/Dunks+3.6#46
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#171
Freethrows+1.1#94
Improvement+4.3#25

Defense
Total Defense+12.0#1
First Shot+9.8#6
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#11
Layups/Dunks+7.7#2
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#94
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement-3.9#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 2.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 18.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 98.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round91.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen63.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight30.7% n/a n/a
Final Four14.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.0% n/a n/a
National Champion2.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3.0 - 4.03.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b5.0 - 1.08.0 - 5.0
Quad 28.0 - 0.016.0 - 5.0
Quad 33.0 - 1.019.0 - 6.0
Quad 47.0 - 0.026.0 - 6.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 344   Incarnate Word W 87-37 99.6%    1 - 0 +32.1 +4.8 +29.0
  Nov 09, 2018 350   Mississippi Valley W 84-52 99.8%    2 - 0 +11.0 +11.2 +3.1
  Nov 13, 2018 237   SE Louisiana W 59-40 98%     3 - 0 +11.8 -13.5 +26.3
  Nov 19, 2018 84   USC W 78-63 87%     4 - 0 +20.9 +5.6 +15.0
  Nov 20, 2018 38   Nebraska W 70-52 75%     5 - 0 +29.1 +6.8 +23.5
  Nov 24, 2018 194   Northern Colorado W 93-62 97%     6 - 0 +26.2 +20.1 +6.6
  Dec 01, 2018 58   Memphis W 78-67 82%     7 - 0 +19.3 +4.9 +13.8
  Dec 05, 2018 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 65-47 99%     8 - 0 +4.6 -10.8 +16.2
  Dec 12, 2018 337   Northwestern St. W 79-44 99.6%    9 - 0 +18.4 +0.4 +17.9
  Dec 15, 2018 157   Abilene Christian W 82-48 96%     10 - 0 +31.6 +15.7 +18.6
  Dec 20, 2018 3   Duke L 58-69 34%     10 - 1 +11.6 -11.8 +25.0
  Dec 28, 2018 168   UT Rio Grande Valley W 71-46 97%     11 - 1 +21.6 +3.5 +19.6
  Jan 02, 2019 82   @ West Virginia W 62-59 82%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +11.7 -7.2 +18.9
  Jan 05, 2019 21   Kansas St. W 63-57 73%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +17.8 +1.8 +16.2
  Jan 08, 2019 34   Oklahoma W 66-59 82%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +15.7 +1.7 +14.3
  Jan 12, 2019 30   @ Texas W 68-62 61%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +21.3 +8.1 +13.7
  Jan 16, 2019 16   Iowa St. L 64-68 71%     15 - 2 4 - 1 +8.4 -5.1 +13.5
  Jan 19, 2019 40   @ Baylor L 62-73 67%     15 - 3 4 - 2 +2.8 -0.3 +2.2
  Jan 22, 2019 21   @ Kansas St. L 45-58 53%     15 - 4 4 - 3 +4.3 -8.9 +11.4
  Jan 26, 2019 52   Arkansas W 67-64 86%     16 - 4 +9.4 +0.0 +9.5
  Jan 28, 2019 47   TCU W 84-65 84%     17 - 4 5 - 3 +26.7 +24.9 +3.9
  Feb 02, 2019 17   @ Kansas L 63-79 52%     17 - 5 5 - 4 +1.8 -2.4 +4.9
  Feb 04, 2019 82   West Virginia W 81-50 91%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +34.2 +3.5 +28.6
  Feb 09, 2019 34   @ Oklahoma W 66-54 65%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +26.3 +5.7 +21.3
  Feb 13, 2019 79   @ Oklahoma St. W 78-50 81%     20 - 5 8 - 4 +37.0 +20.2 +20.8
  Feb 16, 2019 40   Baylor W 86-61 83%     21 - 5 9 - 4 +33.3 +20.6 +14.0
  Feb 23, 2019 17   Kansas W 91-62 72%     22 - 5 10 - 4 +41.3 +38.3 +7.0
  Feb 27, 2019 79   Oklahoma St. W 84-80 OT 91%     23 - 5 11 - 4 +7.4 +5.4 +1.7
  Mar 02, 2019 47   @ TCU W 81-66 69%     24 - 5 12 - 4 +28.2 +21.9 +7.5
  Mar 04, 2019 30   Texas W 70-51 79%     25 - 5 13 - 4 +28.7 +11.4 +20.2
  Mar 09, 2019 16   @ Iowa St. W 80-73 51%     26 - 5 14 - 4 +25.0 +11.9 +13.0
  Mar 14, 2019 82   West Virginia L 74-79 87%     26 - 6 +1.0 -1.2 +2.5
Projected Record 26.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.1 2.7 15.4 51.4 28.8 1.7 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.1 2.7 15.4 51.4 28.8 1.7 0.0 100.0%